Did you see the latest successful Hail Mary pass in the recent game between the Chicago Bears and Washington Commanders?
Since 2009, there have been 193 Hail Mary attempts, with 19 being successful. That’s just under 10%. Aaron Rodgers is the current king of the Hail Mary, with three successful attempts over that span.
A Hail Mary comes at an emotionally charged moment in a game. It’s a desperation play that comes at a desperation moment. If you’re a fan of the defense, you don’t think it’s gonna work, and you certainly don’t expect it to work. But you’re nervous because there is a chance — you’re not totally confident. If you’re a fan of the offense, you also don’t expect it to work. However, you’re hopeful because you know there’s a chance.
There’s always a chance, but can you rely on it?
You’re probably better off doing the hard and boring work earlier in the game to avoid the moment of desperation because a desperate moment can push you to do desperate things.
There are many ways to give yourself a chance. It’s up to you to decide your path.