Daily one-pagers about AI, leadership, technology, and being human.

johnmaconline

I'm writing to think, learn, and remember in public. I'll be here everyday.

September 8, 2024 1 minute read

The Starliner Model Dilemma

Is the model right?

As it turns out, the decision to forgo Boeing’s Starliner return of the stranded astronauts came down to whether they believed the model’s prediction of thruster degradation — will the thrusters have enough helium for the return trip?

Boeing says, “yes,” and NASA says, “we’re not so sure.”

During Mercury, Geminin, and Apollo (I have no idea what their policy is today), NASA had a policy of “prove to me it will work” rather than the subtly distinct but oh-so-different, “prove to me it won’t work.” We don’t go unless you can prove it works. The Challenger disaster happened because management violated that policy of decision-making. 

As an engineer, I have built and used models my entire career. Models are amazing tools, but they all have limitations. The more complex, the more limitations. 

Models are tools, not guarantees. That’s always the model dilemma.

Boeing might be right (I’d be willing to bet they are), but NASA made the right call. Because in this game, human lives don’t get a second chance.

September 7, 2024 1 minute read

Double Nickels

Today, I turn 55. 

One could make a plausible (although far-fetched and dubious) argument that 100 is attainable. Therefore, 50 is the middle. One cannot make that argument about 110.

The point is we’re definitely on the backend. 

What’s the wisdom? What’s the lesson? What’s the path forward?

I’m focusing on keeping “I am’s” and “I will be’s” list long and inspirational.

September 6, 2024 1 minute read

Shoot The Messenger

We usually say, “Don’t shoot the messenger.”

That’s a shield. What we usually mean by that is:

“I’m afraid of blame.”
“It’s not my responsibility.”
“It’s not my message.”

But if we care enough, we realize that even though we might not resonate with the content of the message, if we’re delivering it, it’s our message.

The message matters. The messenger matters.

September 5, 2024 2 minute read

An Introverts Guide to Networking Events (Step 4 — One Last Thing)

Well, introverts, you did it. But there’s one last thing you need to do.

When you get home, or first thing the next day, send everyone you met a message. It’s a very simple message:

“Hi _, it was nice to meet you tonight. Hope you have a great rest of the week.”

That can be it. Literally.

However, if you had talked about something specific, you mention it here. Or, if you had talked about getting together in the future, or about providing information, or answering a question, etc, mention it here.

“Hi Bob, it was nice to meet you tonight. Hope you have a great rest of the week. I promised to send you that article I found about the security leak, so here it is. I’d love to get your perspective on how you would handle it. Could we have a call next week?”

Just keeping conversations going. That’s all you’re doing.

You can do this networking thing. It’s daunting, yes. It’s easy to convince yourself it’s not important. It’s easy to convince yourself it’s dumb. It’s easy to convince yourself there are better ways to spend your time.

But deep down, you know better. Also, you can do it.

September 4, 2024 2 minute read

An Introverts Guide to Networking Events (Step 3 — Time to Leave)

Don’t wait till the end to leave.

That’s right, introvert, now you can leave (thankfully). You can stop the pain. 

But…

You have one very important task on the way out — say “Goodbye” to each person you met tonight. That means walking around and seeking them out. 

Seeking people out to say “Goodbye” cements the connection you made. Plus — here’s the real benefit — it gives you a great opportunity to meet people casually on the way out.

Do this:

  • Be moving. Yes, actually walking, and then pause at the group.
  • Catch some eye contact and break into the conversation to say, “Goodbye.” You don’t need to wait until a comfortable moment (like earlier in the event). Just a slight pause. It’s not (that) weird to be interrupted when someone is saying goodbye. 
  • “Just wanted to say Goodbye and that it was nice meeting you. Have a great night.”

Don’t do this:

  • Don’t pause outside the group for any longer than a few seconds. If you can’t make it happen in that time, find the next person.
  • Don’t get into more conversation than “Goodbye” unless… (see below).
  • Don’t say anything like, “Finally, I get to leave” or give any reasons as to why you’re leaving.

You’re hoping for two things:

  1. The other people in the conversation (these will be the extroverts, and that’s OK) will quickly introduce themselves to you. If so, you can decide if you want more conversation.
  2. The person you’re saying “Goodbye” to wants to engage some more before you take off. 

You’re standing on a good run of the power ladder in each of these situations because you get to decide whether you want to keep talking. 

Then get the heck out of there.

Stay tuned for the final installment…

September 3, 2024 1 minute read

An Introverts Guide to Networking Events (Step 2 — Allow Others to Break into Conversations)

Now it’s time to throw your fellow introverts a bone.

Once you’re in a conversation, inevitably, someone else will look to break in. Although every ounce of your being wants to reject this (rude, focus, etc), this is your time to shine. Always invite them in. It doesn’t matter how. Even mid-sentence with your current conversee.

When you do the inviting, you keep the power and energy. Plus, you’ve helped out a fellow introvert.

You can do this all night. With this strategy, you might not have to start another conversation.

Stay tuned for the last installment…

September 2, 2024 2 minute read

An Introverts Guide to Networking Events (Step 1 — Break into Conversations)

Introverts, this is for you. 

Here’s another first-step strategy to use at networking events — break into a conversation.

To be honest, this isn’t better than starting one on your own because of power and energy. If you’re the third (or fourth, fifth, etc) wheel, you’re already not standing on the same rung of the power ladder. But sometimes, it’s the best you can do, and that’s OK.

To break into a conversation, simply walk up to some people already talking, smile, make eye contact, but be silent.Whether it’s right away, or 20 minutes from now, somebody eventually will greet you. Most likely asking you a question. 

Here’s what you say:

  • Answer the question.
  • If you’ve been listening to the conversation, make a point about it, or better yet, ask a question about it. 
  • If context is missing, ask something like, “Tell me about what you do?”

Never say:

  • “I never know what to say at these things.”
  • “I hate these things.”
  • “I’d like to tell you about…”

Power and energy. It’s very hard for us introverts in a room full of extroverts to earn power and keep energy. But you can do it. 

Stay tuned for the next installment…

September 1, 2024 3 minute read

An Introverts Guide to Network Events (Step 1 — Start a Conversation)

Introverts, this is for you.

I get it. New people are scary. Talking to new people? You gotta be kidding me. What do I say? What will this person think of me? How do those people seem so comfortable? I look stupid. These people see right through me. I think I’m leaving. 

As an introvert, I know you need a plan. You can do this. Here it is. 

First, don’t leave. At least not yet. Your plan is very simple — Get one single conversation started. That’s step one. We’ll talk about step two later. In fact, don’t even think about that right now. 

To start a conversation, do this: 

Scan the scene (that’s your thing, anyway, right?) Find the people that look friendly. Don’t think about that too much. Yes, this is pure “book by its cover” and “window dressing,” which goes against everything you believe in. It’s OK right now. Push through. 

Try to make eye contact with someone physically close to you. Walk around if you need to. Smile once you make eye contact (most likely by accident). If they smile back and hold your gaze for even a fraction of a second, simply say, “Hi, I’m <name>.”

Pause there. If they engage, keep smiling. If they don’t, simply move on. Do it again until someone reciprocates. Yeah, it feels terrible. 

The very next thing you say is something like (pick what feels comfortable):

  • “So what’s your story?”
  • “Tell me about what you do?”
  • “Tell me about your business?”

That’s it. You’ve passed the baton to them, and now you’re already more comfortable because they are talking, not you.

Never lead with these:

  • “I hate these things.”
  • “Don’t you hate these things?”
  • “What brings you here?”
  • “My business is… [prepared speech]”

The “do this” and “never do this” above are about power and energy. You want/need to be at least on equal power ground with the extroverts bubbling over with the energy gleaned from the room. Getting them talking gets you responding. You’re good at responding and then volleying back. The “nevers” start you out on a lower rung of the power ladder. It’s hard to regain equilibrium. 

Stay tuned for the next installment…

August 31, 2024 1 minute read

Corn Sweat

Corn sweat. Who knew?

“One acre of corn can release 4,000 gallons of water a day.”

Are you kidding me? Nature is crazy interesting.

That’s it. Just an appreciation post about showing up each day with curiosity and ready to be surprised.

Don’t ever let age, those around you, or the system beat the sense of wonder out of you. 

August 30, 2024 2 minute read

The Real Problem with the Job Market

Great read here from Daniel Miessler.

Summary:

  1. The primary reason we’re seeing all this disruption in the job market is because we’ve been part of a mass delusion about the very nature of work. 
  2. We told ourselves that millions of corporate workforce jobs—that pay good salaries, have good benefits, and allow you to save for retirement—were somehow a natural feature of the universe. 
  3. In fact, that entire paradigm was just a temporary feature of our civilization, caused by builders and creators not being able to do the work required by themselves. And that’s going away. 
  4. But it’s ok. 
  5. Most of the jobs sucked anyway, and they took up most of the daily waking hours we were supposed to be spending with family and friends. 
  6. Plus even if this transition happens really fast, it still won’t be overnight. Big things take a while. 
  7. And most importantly—what waits for us on the other side is a better way to live. A more human way to live—where we identify as individuals rather than corporate workers and exchange value and meaning as part of a new human-centered economy.

I think a lot about work. I think a lot about AI. Write about them here quite a bit also. The above is a great summary of the conclusions that I’ve come to myself.

So what to do? Practically. Existentially.

  • Your boss, the company, the country, or the universe doesn’t owe you work. Don’t act like it.
  • Solve problems.
  • Give a shit.
  • Help others.
  • Learn how to use the tools.
  • Make it better.
  • Rise above.
  • Follow your curiosity.
  • Dig in.
  • Share the accolades, blame, and wealth.
  • Take responsibility.
  • Embrace the mission.
  • Be more human.

The real problem with the job market is that it’s just a cultural construct. The future will allow you (or your kids and grandkids) to do more yourself. Embrace it. 

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