Lindy Effect

“The longer something has survived, the longer it will keep surviving.” The Lindy Effect comes from a 1964 article by Albert Goldman titled “Lindy’s Law,” which described an observation he made about show business, but has been broadened to life in general first by...

Amara’s Law

“We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate its effect in the long run.” The wording itself is a paraphrased amalgamation of ideas from Roy Amara, an American futurist and researcher during the 1960s and 70s. The internet is...

Yes, Like a Calculator

Calculators didn’t wipe out jobs. Neither did computers. At least not in the toggle-switch way that people talk about AI. But they did affect jobs and how people do their jobs. We used to employ rooms full of people to hand-calculate complex equations. We also used to...

Like a Calculator for Coding

People still do math in their heads and on paper. But the calculator (and by extension, the phone/computer) has taken over the great majority of the heavy lifting arithmetic in daily human life. Even quick and dirty math. Watch clerks try to make change. Watch...

Humans Will Stop Writing Code

I’m now fairly convinced. We’ll stop writing code. There will still be code, of course, but it’ll be written entirely by the agents. It just makes so much sense. I watch myself now, and I realize that I tell the agent to do everything, including basic and simple stuff...

TaaS

SaaS is dead. Well, probably not dead, but there is/will be a new and improved version of SaaS: TaaS. Tokens as a Service. Start building a business through which your customers flow their AI tokens. You scrape a little off the top. This is the perfect model for...

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