by John Macdonald | Jul 13, 2026 | AI, Leadership, Technology, The250
“The longer something has survived, the longer it will keep surviving.” The Lindy Effect comes from a 1964 article by Albert Goldman titled “Lindy’s Law,” which described an observation he made about show business, but has been broadened to life in general first by... by John Macdonald | Jul 12, 2026 | AI, Technology, The250
“We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate its effect in the long run.” The wording itself is a paraphrased amalgamation of ideas from Roy Amara, an American futurist and researcher during the 1960s and 70s. The internet is... by John Macdonald | Jul 11, 2026 | Leadership, Technology, The250
“Organizations design systems that mirror their own communication structures.” This rule comes from a 1968 paper by Melvin Conway about “How Do Committees Invent?” Basically, look at your current organizational structure. Your product’s architecture will likely follow... by John Macdonald | Jul 10, 2026 | AI, Technology, The250
Calculators didn’t wipe out jobs. Neither did computers. At least not in the toggle-switch way that people talk about AI. But they did affect jobs and how people do their jobs. We used to employ rooms full of people to hand-calculate complex equations. We also used to... by John Macdonald | Jul 9, 2026 | AI, Technology, The250
People still do math in their heads and on paper. But the calculator (and by extension, the phone/computer) has taken over the great majority of the heavy lifting arithmetic in daily human life. Even quick and dirty math. Watch clerks try to make change. Watch... by John Macdonald | Jul 8, 2026 | AI, Human, Leadership, Technology, The250
I’m now fairly convinced. We’ll stop writing code. There will still be code, of course, but it’ll be written entirely by the agents. It just makes so much sense. I watch myself now, and I realize that I tell the agent to do everything, including basic and simple stuff...