Eyes on the Incentives

Lots of doomsdaying around AI recently. The accelerationist versus doomer wars are heating up.

Dario from Anthropic has always been a doomer, but now his foil Sam, has joined in. Elon has always kinda been a doomer, but then sometimes he just flips to the accelerationist side.

There’s not a clean political split. The left tends towards doomerism. The right tends towards accelerationism. But it’s way more complicated.

What’s really going on?

It’s incentives. Like always.

It’s possible that Dario and Sam are legit in their public worrying. That their incentives are human-focused. But it’s also possible that Anthropic and OpenAI will benefit from a slowdown. From some regulation (that they help create).

Honestly, I don’t know which it is.

But I know I’ll keep my eye on the incentives.