Daily one-pagers about AI, leadership, technology, and being human.

johnmaconline

I'm writing to think, learn, and remember in public. I'll be here everyday.

September 15, 2022 2 minute read

The Case for God

One could easily think that all the smart people are atheists and only dumb (or simple) people could believe in a God. Certainly, elite academic institutions, academics, and pseudo-academics on social media give this impression. 

They might be right. 

But it would be wrong to assume that all smart people are atheists and that only dumb people believe in God. In fact, some very smart people have set forth some interesting arguments for God:

  1. The kalam cosmological argument — based on the beginning of the universe
  2. The moral argument — based on the existence of objective moral values.
  3. The teleological argument — based on the design of the universe
  4. The ontological argument — based on the formal logic of possibility to existence.

For me, however, the most powerful argument has always been a form of the cosmological argument from contingency. When I ask myself, “Why is there anything at all?” God seems like the best answer. 

The point is that the conversation is still valid both philosophically and scientifically. It’s not dead in academia or the culture, regardless of what the smart people shout. 

The lesson here is that just because someone has a microphone, marketing skills, and a tribe doesn’t mean they are right. That’s true with God and everything else. 

September 14, 2022 2 minute read

A Path to Unity

Something struck me today. 

Strawmanning — Attacking a superficially similar argument so as to pull attention away from the real argument.

“We should restrict gun access.”
“Oh, you want the government to imprison us and take away all of our freedom and rights?”

“We shouldn’t wear masks in most situations.”
“Oh, you hate people? You don’t care if you kill others?”

The strawman has two problems, one formal and one human:

  1. The formal problem is that the refutation does not address the original argument.
  2. The human problem is that you either don’t understand your opponent’s position or can’t see any value or reasoning behind that position. Your argument is the very definition of “jumping to a conclusion.”

The strawman is a popular and effective public argument strategy because it fits into 280 characters. Moreover, the people that agree with you instantly jump to the same conclusion — “Yes! You’re right and they’re wrong!” It’s a toggle-switch answer. 

The cure for the disconnected, disjointed, and divided culture we find ourselves in is empathy. The path to empathy starts with recognizing that your opponent is a person with a history. They are smart, feeling, and caring individuals just like you. 

They just happen to have come to a different conclusion than you have. 

To have a unified and healthy culture, we don’t all need to believe the same things, but we all have to value each other. 

September 13, 2022 1 minute read

Our Disease

We have a disease, and we’ve got it bad.

This disease is endemic and spreading to nearly everybody, but I don’t mean cancer or long COVID. 

It impacts our happiness, workplaces, family discussions, politics, art, and our culture at large.

The disease?

Overseriousness.

The bad news is that letting it continue will ruin us. Its symptoms of fear, sadness, egocentricity, and anger will suck the life right out of each one of us.

The great news is that we have and know the cure, and it’s a very simple cure — let’s stop taking ourselves so darn seriously.

Crack a joke. Take a joke. Laugh at what’s funny. 

Get out and run around. Fall down, and get back up. Laugh at yourself.

Be thankful for where you are today and the history that has created it.

Yes, all of it. Some of it has sucked. Some of it has been great. All of it has made you who you are today. 

And who you are today is 100% amazing.

September 12, 2022 1 minute read

That’s How They Get You

Whether it’s vaccines, the system, salesmen, gas prices, climate change, websites, mobile hotspots, noble lies, taxes, or hidden fees — “That’s how they get you!” 

The trouble is when you think this way, you’ve made yourself a victim of the nameless and faceless “they.” You’ve manifested the very thing against which you are guarding. 

They haven’t got you. You’ve got you.

You might think that this outlook is the smart one; protecting you and keeping you safe, or at least keeping you from exploitation. 

What if, however, you thought differently? What if instead of looking for exploitation, you look for mutual benefits? What if you lead with empathy? What if you assume the other person is not trying to extract something from you?

What if the thing you are worried about really is better for you and others? 

It doesn’t have to be either-or. It can be both-and. 

You always have a choice about the way you think. 

September 11, 2022 2 minute read

The Power of and the Problem With Photographs

Joseph Nicephore Niepce took the first photo in 1826. 

In 2022, we’ll take approximately 4.7 billion per day and 1.72 trillion per year. The devices we call smartphones today could plausibly, and maybe more accurately, be called smartcameras because they account for 92.5% of those photos.

Your camera rolls contain your story. You are the subject or the direct observer for each of the thousands of photos on your device. As you scroll through, they tickle your emotions with fondness, humor, or sadness. 

But how many are iconic?

Some photos are iconic because they don’t require us as the subject or direct observer. They have the power to mesmerize us as if we were. They provide photo-realistic glimpses into a moment we didn’t personally witness. We respond viscerally as if it was on our own cameral roll. 

This is the way it looked. The image caught in time.

Paradoxically, iconic photos are actually abstract representations, even though they are the very definition of a realistic representation.

The problem is context. 

A photo that strikes our emotions does so because of what we bring to it. We superimpose personal baggage or tribal baggage over the image to interpret the meaning or the action. We create backstory, story for the moment, and then a story for the aftermath. The story gives it meaning.

But it’s our story, not the story of the subjects or the observer in the photo. 

Sometimes we get it right, and sometimes we get it wrong. 

September 10, 2022 2 minute read

Why Telling People to Eat More Veggies Doesn’t Help Them Get Healthier

To be clear, “eat more veggies” is usually the perfect advice to help make anybody and everybody healthier.

But it’s also not going to work.

My daughter is a young professional dietician, fresh off years of academic study with several degrees and many letters after her name to show for it. She currently works with a range of people, from young women in crisis to adults trying to get their act together.

She said to me recently (paraphrased):

“You, me, them — we all know that we should eat more veggies, and if we did, we’d be healthier. However, I’ve learned working with real people that this isn’t a math formula, nor do people need more scientific information. 

Nobody needs to be told to eat more veggies, although that is true. They already know that.

What people need is to explore the emotions associated with their eating. Their personal history. Their feelings about what they like or dislike. How different foods make them feel is likely attached to events in their lives, both positive and negative. 

They need counseling to figure out why they feel like they do. Then we can work with the food.”

How true this is for so many parts of our lives — our likes and dislikes, tribes we join, successes and failures — all rooted in our personal histories and the associated emotions. 

We rarely need scientific advice about the how. Instead, we should start with the why

September 9, 2022 2 minute read

The Lifeguard Dilemma

According to published US Lifesaving Association statistics, lifeguards at US beaches made 47555 rescues in 2021. Over that same time 65 people drowned at unguarded beaches.

How many of the 47555 would have drowned if not rescued?  

Of course, we don’t and can’t know, but one thing is clear: many more families, friends, and colleagues would have been devastated if not for the work of the USLA lifeguards. 

The USLA estimates the chance of fatally drowning at a protected beach at a paltry 1 in 18 million. Choose a beach with lifeguards if you want the best chance of swimming in the ocean and coming out alive. 

And yet…

Swimming at the guarded beach comes with a tradeoff — freedom. 

You can’t “do whatever you want, whenever you want” at a guarded beach regardless of your ability as a swimmer or your desire to take on risk. If the surf is too rough or the tide is ripping, red flags fly. Get out too far, and the whistles blow. Too many people? Don’t fish or surf here. 

The lifeguards must assess the risk and make decisions to restrict freedoms based on the desires and abilities of the collective, not of you specifically. What’s the best decision for the group?

You, however, do have a choice. You can seek out that gritty, unfettered, and often beautiful stretch of shoreline with the big waves. Just remember, though, that this freedom, like all freedom, comes without a safety net.

September 8, 2022 2 minute read

The Case for Pragmatism

Pragmatism gets a bad rap. Sometimes deservedly so.

Pragmatists are labeled flip-floppers, scoffed at as non-believers, or painted as having no integrity.

Are those labels earned?

Ideology makes everything monochromatic by assuming objective right and wrong, best and worst, true and false, regardless of the individual. 

Ideology can be the comfortable choice because it allows one to outsource truth — to the group or the text. When you outsource truth in this way, you lighten your personal burden. 

It’s comfortable, but does it ultimately offer the best solutions for a diverse community of ~7.5 billion people, or even ~335 million?

Ideology requires we pick a direction and never veer, no matter what we learn. Pragmatism allows us to pick a direction and then modify according to what we learn. And as the great experiment moves forward, we are unafraid to modify our guidance as we learn more. 

The case for pragmatism comes down to recognizing that most problems we’re trying to solve can’t be ideologically categorized as right or wrong.

Most of the problems are grey, affect some more than others, and follow from perspective informed by opinion and preferences. 

Pragmatism recognizes that solutions can be subjective and that a solution may work for you if not for someone else. 

Pragmatism may get a bad rap, but it recognizes that most problems are grey, the best solutions take time and experimentation, and personal values and opinions are important. 

September 7, 2022 1 minute read

Experiences are Devious Yet Real

Reality, not truth, is based on experience. But experience is easily fooled, as is perspective.

The smell test (known as Occam’s razor in academia and “if it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck” in kindergarten) is simultaneously the best tool and a complete charlatan.

It’s the best tool for reality, but a charlatan for truth. 

But it’s usually a good place to start.

September 6, 2022 1 minute read

Reality Versus Truth

Reality and truth are not synonyms.

Truth is objective and permanent. Truth does not depend on you or anyone else’s perception. We can use truth and fact interchangeably.

Reality is subjective and ephemeral. Reality relies on your or someone else’s perception. We cannot use reality and fact interchangeably.

“What’s your truth?”

Nope. Nonsensical.

“What’s your reality?”

Now we’re talking.

We can’t argue over truth, but we can argue over reality.

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