Daily one-pagers about AI, leadership, technology, and being human.

johnmaconline

I'm writing to think, learn, and remember in public. I'll be here everyday.

August 23, 2024 2 minute read

Do You Want to be on the “Great Place to Work” List?

I was describing my startup company, 4TLAS (pronounced “atlas”), to someone recently, and the person said something like, “Maybe someday you’ll get on the Great Places to Work list!”

Hmmm. Is that what we want? 

I mean, yeah, we definitely want our people to love working here. We want it to be a great place to work. But do we want/need to be formally recognized by some external entity?

If you go to Fortune’s Great Place to Work list for 2024, you’ll notice a few things:

  1. The Great Place to Work list is a business. 
  2. They created the criteria (ie, KPI’s).
  3. They tell you whether you win.

All of that is fine if you’re OK signing up for that game. 

But, KPIs will be gamed, the criteria they choose might not be what we care about, and we might value someone who thinks differently about this. 

Here’s what we’re going to do to be a great place to work:

  • Ensure our people’s mission is aligned with our mission
  • Encourage their curiosity
  • Empower them
  • Challenge them
  • Value them
  • Grow them
  • Reward them

So yes, I definitely want 4TLAS to be a great place to work, but we don’t need to be on a list.

August 22, 2024 1 minute read

They Stole My Shoes

If you’re a serious backpacker, astronaut, artist, startup founder, or anybody who does new things or creates new ideas, you know the wilderness.

You may have a map and water bottle, which is helpful, but at some point, you’re off the grid. You’re flying blind. It’s midnight with no moon. You got your hands out in front of you, trying not to run into things.

The ground is rocky. Sharp edges everywhere. Then mushy. You’re in a swamp. You’re just trying to take the next step without cutting yourself, or losing your leg in the quicksand, or falling off the cliff.

But then someone steals your shoes. You never even considered that would pop up.

Now what?

Well, that’s the question. How will you handle it when they steal your shoes?

August 21, 2024 1 minute read

What Do You See?

You are the only one who walks around with your eyes — your personal history, experiences, and outcomes.

Maybe that sounds dumb, or you think, “so what?”

But that is the most powerful, most important, and most beautiful thing you bring to this world.

What do you see?

August 20, 2024 1 minute read

Brilliant Gamesmanship

I’m an athlete (or I loosely identify as one — or a former one — or, OK, I still run about 20 miles a week — let’s leave it there). I also love cards, Catan, Survivor, and backyard games.

Win or lose, I love brilliant gamesmanship.

We’re seeing brilliant gamesmanship in the US political landscape right now. It’s fascinating.

It started with the right. First, they hooked into the mental capability rhetoric and found a path that was working. Then, they were thrown a bone. They took the assassination attempt and used it perfectly. It worked.

The left was on the ropes. Bloodied and confused. Reeling. Praying for the bell.

But then the left countered perfectly. They stung and wobbled the right. They’ve done it. They completely turned it around.

Now, the right is on the ropes, praying for the bell. What will they come up with?

Make no mistake. National politics is, and always has been, a game. It’s not about who is better or will be better. Nor is it about principles or right and wrong. It’s about who has the power.

Watching it unfold is a fascinating study in gamesmanship.

August 19, 2024 1 minute read

Moravec’s Paradox

Moravec’s paradox is the observation that some tasks that are easy for humans are very difficult for AI systems to replicate, while some tasks that are challenging for humans are relatively easy for AI. 

We also call this the “easy-hard problem for AI.”

Here are some tasks that are (generally) easy for humans but hard for AI:

  • Recognizing objects in complex real-world scenes (finding the squirrel in the woods)
  • Understanding natural language in context (sarcasm, idioms, etc)
  • Transferring knowledge to new tasks (learning the guitar after learning the piano)
  • Reasoning about abstract concepts (justice, empathy, etc)
  • Common sense understanding (if you have an umbrella, I know it’s probably raining)

Here are some tasks that are easy for AI but (generally) hard for humans:

  • Strategy games (chess, go, etc)
  • Complex calculations (weather forecasting)
  • Large datasets (genomic data)
  • Predictive modeling (protein folding)
  • Image recognition (MRI analysis)

The good news for us humans is that we can use AI to augment our capabilities for the hard (for us) tasks. You can and should be doing that already. 

Will AI someday use humans to augment its capabilities for the hard (for it) tasks?

August 18, 2024 1 minute read

Reasonable Decisions and AI

Better safe than sorry.

But…

The smoke detector shouldn’t go off because we burned dinner.
The car shouldn’t automatically stop in the middle of the road because of a pedestrian on the shoulder.
The security system shouldn’t call the Police if the dog trips the alarm.

These decisions aren’t simply a math problem for humans.

We humans are good at the nuance of detection. We make an assessment of the situation with all of our faculties. If we’re in charge of the decisions above, we know how to quickly and accurately process all of the signals provided to ensure we make a reasonable decision. Reasonable does not have to mean “better safe than sorry.”

AI’s not (yet) good at processing the complexity of real-world systems. Even Tesla’s full self-driving (which is amazing — I’ve used and witnessed it myself) is much more conservative than the most conservative driver you know.

AI can’t think, or at least not the way we do. AI doesn’t care.

That’s the difference. We humans can make reasonable decisions because we care.

Don’t stop caring.

August 17, 2024 1 minute read

But Does it Make a Difference?

Does it make a difference if you blow the red light when nobody is around?
Would it have made a difference if the US boycotted the 1936 Berlin Olympics?
Will it make a difference if I have another beer?
Does it make a difference if we contract out this piece?
Would it have made a difference if I had made the bed?
Will it make a difference if we elect (whomever)?

Sometimes, leaders get caught up trying to answer the question of whether it makes a difference. Here’s the Cliffs Notes: the answer is always “yes.”

The question you should be trying to solve is, “To whom does this make a difference?”

August 16, 2024 1 minute read

The Pinocchio Problem and AI

Pinocchio says, “My nose will grow now.”

But Pinocchio’s nose only grows if he’s lying. Therefore, if his nose grows, he’s lying. Conversely, if it doesn’t, he was lying, thus making the statement true again.

The AI says, “I always tell the truth.”

But who’s truth? And when?

August 15, 2024 2 minute read

The Class Action Incentive Problem

I just signed up as a claimant in (yet another) class action lawsuit. This one is against Visa and MasterCard.

“The deadline for the Visa/Mastercard $5.54 billion settlement claim is approaching quickly…This settlement provides all eligible businesses the opportunity to reclaim a portion of the interchange fees paid between 2004 and 2019.”

Class action lawsuits, like many other boondoggles, are good-intentioned at their core.

The primary purpose of a class action lawsuit is to allow a group of individuals to band together and sue collectively against larger entities. If Big Evil Company has misrepresented, mischarged, or otherwise duped us little people out of what we deserve, then we can get together and stick it to the man.  

Power to the people, and whatnot.

Y’all know how it works in practice. The law firm gets a pile, and we, the claimants, get a tiny drop. 

“Hey! That’s not fair!” 

Sure it is. It’s actually the very definition of fair.

I don’t fault the law firm, nor am I bothered by the distribution. If I was duped out of $3.64, then I should be repaid $3.64. The law firm does the work on behalf of all of us. They should get paid. 

The problem is the incentive. 

It’s the Cobra Effect, the social media algorithms, and KPIs. 

We usually get what the system incentivizes.  

August 14, 2024 1 minute read

Pointing at Who Did It

The pilot who successfully lands the crippled airliner gets the headlines. So does the emergency room doctor who restarts the heart of a 53-year old man.

As they should. These are extraordinary efforts that lead directly to saved lives.

Plus, it’s easy to point at “who did it.” Headlines love who did it.

What about the engineer who designed a redundant switching mechanism in the aileron control system? That system has never once failed over the lifetime of the aircraft fleet on which it has been installed for over 30 years.

What about the 53-year-old man who changed his lifestyle ten years ago and is now healthier than he was at 40?

If nothing bad or dramatic happens, it’s harder to point at who did it.

But that doesn’t mean somebody didn’t do it. As a leader, your job is to look under the covers, past the mundane, and point at who did it.

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